Time for a 'Modi Doctrine' to Counter China in Indian Ocean: Report

A report by analyst Michael Rubin argues that as India rises, Prime Minister Narendra Modi must establish a strategic regional doctrine. The proposed "Modi Doctrine" would aim to protect Indian Ocean countries from China's predatory economic and military ambitions. It highlights China's debt diplomacy in nations like Sri Lanka and Bangladesh as a form of neo-colonialism. The doctrine would position India as the paramount security provider, using diplomatic and naval power to counter Chinese influence.

Key Points: Report Calls for 'Modi Doctrine' to Secure Indian Ocean from China

  • India's rise to 4th largest economy
  • China's asymmetric challenges
  • Need for Indian regional security doctrine
  • Countering Chinese debt-trap diplomacy
  • Indian Navy's role in defending EEZs
3 min read

'Modi doctrine' needed to protect Indian Ocean countries from China's predatory ambitions: Report

Analyst Michael Rubin argues India needs a strategic doctrine, akin to the Monroe Doctrine, to protect regional countries from China's predatory ambitions and debt diplomacy.

"A Modi Doctrine would not impede freedom of navigation and lawful commerce. But Chinese debt diplomacy... aims at neo-colonialism. - Michael Rubin"

New Delhi, March 11

As India rises, Prime Minister Narendra Modi must create a regional and security doctrine commensurate with India's economic infrastructure and role in the world. PM Modi - already India's third longest-serving Prime Minister - has likely contributed more to infrastructure development of India than all his predecessors together and navigated the country through several challenges, a report has highlighted.

Writing in The Sunday Guardian, Michael Rubin, Director of Policy Analysis at the Middle East Forum and a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute in Washington DC, stated that when PM Modi came to power in 2014, India was the 10th largest economy in the world and now it is the fourth largest in the world.

He mentioned that India's adversaries, including China and Pakistan, will not accept its rise quietly and will try to constrain New Delhi through asymmetric ways.

"These challenges suggest that, as India rises, Modi must establish a regional doctrine and security doctrine commensurate with India's economic infrastructure and role in the world. In short, it is time for a Modi Doctrine akin to the US Monroe Doctrine. President James Monroe declared the United States would be the preeminent power in the Western hemisphere and that the United States would not tolerate European militaries and interference in the region," wrote Rubin.

Rubin stated that a "Modi doctrine" might similarly protect the countries of the Indian Ocean region from the predatory ambitions of China.

"A Modi Doctrine would not impede freedom of navigation and lawful commerce. But Chinese debt diplomacy in Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, and Kenya and its salivation of bribing and co-opting politicians in the Maldives and Mauritius aims at neo-colonialism. China might pursue Belt-and-Road ports and port facilities in Colombo, Hambantota, Chittagong, Kyaukphyu, and Bagamoyo, but India should use all its diplomatic and economic leverage to extract the Chinese. Nor are Chinese-funded port projects the only inroads of Chinese exploitation and imperial ambition," he wrote in The Sunday Guardian.

Highlighting that Chinese fishing fleets poach fishing beds, violate exclusive economic zones and pursue unsustainable practices, Rubin opined that the Indian Navy should help defend all Indian Ocean basin countries from Chinese predation.

"More than 280 crore people living in countries bordering the Indian Ocean will depend on the security India can provide. Chinese ships might pass through its waters, but they should have no base or dual use military facility in the region. Regional security and small state sovereignty and independence require India to be the paramount power," he wrote.

- IANS

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Reader Comments

P
Priya S
While I agree India must protect its interests, calling it a "Modi Doctrine" feels too personality-centric. Our foreign policy should be about India's enduring role, not any single leader. We need sustainable, bipartisan strategies that outlast governments.
R
Rohit P
Absolutely! Look at Sri Lanka and Pakistan. China's "friendship" comes with strings attached that choke sovereignty. India's approach with SAGAR (Security and Growth for All in the Region) is more genuine. We must be the reliable big brother in the neighborhood.
M
Michael C
Interesting perspective from an American analyst. The Monroe Doctrine analogy is apt. With great economic power comes great responsibility. India's rise is good for global balance, but it must be prepared to shoulder the security burden in its immediate region.
S
Shreya B
The point about Chinese fishing fleets is so true! They are destroying marine ecosystems that our coastal communities depend on. Our navy must patrol more actively and help smaller nations protect their EEZs. This is about protecting livelihoods, not just politics.
K
Karthik V
We need to walk the talk. It's not just about the navy. Our economic diplomacy has to be stronger—offer better, faster infrastructure projects than China's BRI. Speed and transparency will win us friends. The time for a clear Indian Ocean strategy is now.

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