India's Growth Slows in March as Energy Shock Hits Manufacturing, Services

India's composite PMI output index stood at 56.5 in March, indicating continued expansion but at a softer pace. New orders grew at their slowest rate in over three years, weighed down by softer domestic demand despite a record surge in export orders. Input costs and selling charges rose at their fastest rates in 45 and seven months respectively, with firms absorbing part of the increase by squeezing margins. Companies cited the Middle East conflict, unstable markets, and inflationary pressures as factors dampening growth, though they remain optimistic about output for the coming year.

Key Points: India's March PMI Shows Growth Easing Amid Energy Shock

  • Output growth eased in March
  • New order growth slowest in over 3 years
  • Cost pressures intensified sharply
  • Firms absorbed costs, squeezing margins
  • Business optimism remains for coming year
2 min read

India's output growth eases in March due to energy shock amid West Asia crisis: PMI data

HSBC Flash PMI data reveals softer output and new order growth in India's private sector for March, with cost pressures intensifying.

"Softer domestic demand weighed on new orders, which rose at the slowest pace in more than three years - Pranjul Bhandari, HSBC"

New Delhi, March 24

The output growth eased across both manufacturing and services sectors in India in the month of March as the energy shock unfolds amid the West Asia tensions, the HSBC Flash India PMI data showed on Tuesday.

The PMI Composite Output Index - a seasonally adjusted index that measures the month-on-month change in the combined output of India's manufacturing and service sectors - stood at 56.5 in March.

"Softer domestic demand weighed on new orders, which rose at the slowest pace in more than three years, despite a record surge in new export orders. Cost pressures intensified, but companies are absorbing part of the increase by squeezing margins," said Pranjul Bhandari, Chief India Economist at HSBC.

Companies indicated that the Middle East war, unstable market conditions and inflationary pressures all dampened growth. Input costs and selling charges increased at the fastest rates in 45 and seven months, respectively.

There were softer increases in new orders placed with manufacturing companies and their services counterparts. Collectively, sales rose at the slowest pace since November 2022, showed the data compiled by S&P Global.

Outstanding business volumes at the composite level rose for the fourth successive month in March, but the pace of accumulation was only marginal.

Manufacturing-specific data showed further increases in buying levels and stocks of purchases at the end of the last fiscal quarter. In both cases, however, rates of expansion eased from February.

In terms of delivery times, companies reported a marked improvement in vendor performance.

"Firms absorbed a large part of their additional cost burdens, as indicated by a rise in selling prices that trailed that of input costs by a considerable margin. Nonetheless, the rate of charge inflation was marked and the strongest in seven months," said the PMI data.

The Indian private sector firms were optimistic of an increase in output levels over the course of the coming 12 months. Efficiency enhancements, marketing campaigns and new client enquiries were some of the reasons companies gave for their positive assessments.

- IANS

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Reader Comments

R
Rohit P
PMI still above 50 means expansion is happening, just slower. The record surge in export orders is a silver lining! 🇮🇳 Our manufacturing is becoming more competitive globally despite these headwinds.
A
Aman W
Feeling this pinch personally. My small business's raw material costs have shot up 15% this month alone. Squeezing margins is not sustainable for long. Hope the West Asia situation stabilizes soon.
S
Sarah B
The data shows a marked improvement in vendor delivery times. That's a positive operational efficiency gain amidst the challenges. Companies adapting quickly.
K
Karthik V
With elections around the corner, expect some policy interventions to boost domestic demand. The optimism for the next 12 months mentioned in the report seems key. Jai Hind!
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Nikhil C
Respectfully, while external factors are a problem, we also need to look inward. Can our domestic demand be stronger? Are we investing enough in renewable energy to reduce such external shocks in the future? Just a thought.

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