India's coal demand seen at 1.6 bn tonnes by 2030 as govt pushes market-driven trade: Coal Secy
Mumbai, August 14
India's coal demand is projected to rise to around 1.6 billion tonnes by 2030, prompting a shift towards more efficient and market-driven mechanisms for coal trading as the country moves from a scarcity to a surplus scenario, Coal Secretary Vikram Dev Dutt said on Friday.
Speaking at the Global Commodity Conclave 2026 in Mumbai, Dutt said the coal exchange would create a transparent marketplace for buyers and sellers and eventually lay the foundation for a coal derivatives market.
"Coal demand is projected to rise further to an estimated 1.6 billion tonnes by 2030, and under this situation, where the country has moved from a scarcity scenario to a surplus scenario, a shift that underscores the need for more efficient, transparent and market-driven mechanisms for coal trade," he said.
The secretary said domestic coal production crossed 1 billion tonnes for the first time in 2024-25 and remained above that level for a second consecutive year in 2025-26. He said the achievement reflected India's growing self-reliance in energy and its ability to ensure an uninterrupted fuel supply.
Against this backdrop, the government is seeking to move beyond the existing one-to-many sales model towards a many-to-many trading platform through the coal exchange.
The exchange will allow buyers and sellers to bid simultaneously, enabling competitive price discovery and bringing multiple coal sales channels into a standardised trading framework, he said.
It will also give commercial and captive coal miners access to a wider market and allow consumers to source coal from multiple domestic producers, reducing dependence on a single supplier.
"Coal exchanges will also allow the exchange to function as a central counterparty for clearing and settlement, thereby improving risk management for both buyers and sellers," the secretary said.
The platform could also make it easier for buyers to meet unplanned or short-term coal requirements, he added.
Going forward, Dutt said the coal exchange could eventually support the development of a derivatives market, allowing producers and consumers to manage price risks.
"This will also lay the foundation for the development of a coal derivatives market in India at the right point of time," he said, adding that coal could become an active part of the convergence between physical and financial commodity markets.
The secretary said the government would engage with exchanges, regulators, market infrastructure institutions, financial intermediaries and industry stakeholders as the coal exchange framework is operationalised in the coming months.
He said the broader reform agenda was aimed at greater transparency, faster project execution, wider private participation and a more efficient and self-reliant coal ecosystem.
— ANI
Reader Comments
Interesting perspective from the Coal Secretary. The market-driven approach for coal trading could actually bring more efficiency. But I wonder how this will impact smaller miners who might not have the resources to participate in a complex exchange system.
Finally some forward-thinking on coal! The derivatives market will help industries hedge against price volatility. This is the kind of reform we need - transparent pricing, less dependence on single suppliers, and better risk management. 👏
Crossed 1 billion tonnes - that's genuinely impressive for self-reliance. But I'm cautiously optimistic about the coal exchange. We've seen similar initiatives in other sectors struggle with implementation. The government needs to ensure the platform is actually accessible to all players, not just the big corporates.
The push for a coal derivatives market makes sense from a financial perspective, but it also feels like we're doubling down on coal at a time when the world is rapidly transitioning away. India's energy needs are real, but so is climate change. Balance is key, and I hope the government doesn't lose sight of that.
A transparent coal exchange is long overdue! This will help reduce the middlemen exploitation that has plagued the sector for decades. Competitive price discovery and centralized clearing - yes please! This is how we build a modern energy market. 🙌
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