Indian markets open higher despite global weakness; Valuations concerns persist amid FII selling: Experts
New Delhi, June 10
Indian markets opened in green on Wednesday, defying weakness across major global peers, even as experts cautioned that valuations remain a concern amid continued foreign investor selling.
The BSE Sensex climbed 284.92 points, or 0.39 per cent, to 74,203.68 points, while the NSE Nifty 50 gained 82.75 points, or 0.36 per cent, to 23,324.85 points in early trade.
The positive opening followed firm cues from the GIFT Nifty, which traded 106.50 points or 0.46 per cent higher at 23,291.00 points. The gains came despite a broader sell-off across global markets.
Commenting on market trends, VK Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Investments Limited, said the market is likely to overlook the recent escalation of tensions in West Asia.
"The market is likely to largely ignore the escalation of the conflict in West Asia as a one-off. The softness in crude prices indicates that. Despite the escalation, Brent crude continues to trade below the USD 93 level," Vijayakumar said.
He also highlighted a shift in global investor sentiment towards artificial intelligence-linked stocks.
"A significant trend in global markets is the fatigue that is creeping into the AI trade. FIIs appear to be increasingly cautious about the concentration risks associated with the AI-related trade in South Korea and Taiwan. But this has not yet reflected in the FIIs looking at Indian stocks, where they continue to sell," he added.
According to Vijayakumar, Indian equity valuations remain elevated despite the recent correction.
"Even though the Indian market has corrected, the fact remains that the valuations are not yet attractive. Nifty at around 20 times earnings is fairly valued, but not attractively valued. Nifty Midcap Index at 29 times earnings and Nifty Smallcap Index at 33 times earnings are expensive," he said.
He noted that stronger growth prospects in the broader market continue to support premium valuations but added that the gap between large-cap and broader market valuations is likely to persist due to sustained foreign portfolio investor (FPI) selling.
"Given the sustained FPI selling, the valuation differential between the large caps and the broader market is likely to sustain in the near term. The situation will change when FPIs turn buyers in India," Vijayakumar stated.
Meanwhile, market experts remained optimistic about near-term technical levels.
"We believe that the 23,100/73,500 zone will act as a crucial support level for day traders," said Shrikant Chouhan, Head of Equity Research at Kotak Securities. "As long as the market trades above this level, the pullback formation is likely to continue, with the index potentially moving towards 23,450-23,500 / 74,500-74,700 on the higher side."
However, he cautioned that a breach below the support zone could trigger fresh selling pressure.
In global markets, US equities ended lower overnight. The Nasdaq declined 250.84 points, or 0.97 per cent, to 25,678.82 points, while the S&P 500 fell 19.08 points, or 0.26 per cent, to 7,386.65 points. Dow Jones Futures were also down 114.43 points, or 0.22 per cent, at 50,757.68 points.
Asian markets mirrored the weakness, with Japan's Nikkei 225 falling 1.41 per cent and South Korea's KOSPI dropping 4.18 per cent in early trade. Taiwan's benchmark index and Hong Kong's Hang Seng also traded lower.
In commodities, Brent crude slipped USD 0.24 to USD 92.16 per barrel, while crude oil futures fell 0.30 per cent to USD 88.86 per barrel. Gold prices also declined by 0.99 per cent.
— ANI
Reader Comments
Typical Indian market resilience! Despite global weakness, we're holding up. But I'm worried about the smallcap valuations - 33 times earnings is scary. Retail investors need to be cautious and not get caught in the FOMO trap. Let the professional money guide the way. 😊
West Asia tensions are old news for markets now - crude below $93 despite escalation shows how markets have priced in the risk. The real story is the AI trade fatigue. FIIs running from Korea and Taiwan might eventually look at India, but valuations need to correct first. Patience, my friends! 🚀
I appreciate the analysis from VK Vijayakumar - he's always balanced. 20x earnings for Nifty is fair but not a steal. The midcap and smallcap premiums are worrying though. For new investors, this is not the time to jump in blindly. Better to wait for a deeper correction or invest systematically.
The support at 23,100/73,500 mentioned by Chouhan is crucial. If we hold above that, we could see 23,500 soon. But the global uncertainty from West Asia and US tech selloff is real. I'm playing it safe with IT and pharma stocks for now. Better to be defensive in this environment. 🤞
Interesting how Indian markets are bucking the global trend again. But let's be honest - with FIIs continuing to sell, this rally might be short-lived. The valuation gap between large caps and broader market is a red flag. I'd stick with quality large caps until the
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