India-US Trade Deal "Very Near" But No Deadline, Says Commerce Secretary

Commerce Secretary Rajesh Agrawal stated that the first phase of the India-US Bilateral Trade Agreement is "very near" completion, though he declined to provide a specific deadline. He noted that negotiating teams are engaged in virtual talks to resolve outstanding issues, with recent high-level meetings held in December. Agrawal highlighted the resilience of Indian exports to the US, which are maintaining a monthly figure of around $7 billion despite tariffs. The deal, aiming to boost bilateral trade to $500 billion by 2030, faces ongoing discussions on sensitive areas like energy trade.

Key Points: India-US Trade Deal Near, No Deadline Set

  • Deal status "very near" but no deadline
  • Negotiations continue virtually on pending issues
  • US exports holding at $7B monthly despite tariffs
  • Energy trade remains a key point of discussion
  • India also engaged in Canada trade talks
3 min read

India-US trade deal 'very near' but can't put a deadline: Commerce Secretary

India's Commerce Secretary says the India-US trade agreement is "very near" but refuses to set a timeline. Talks continue on pending issues.

"It's very near. That will happen as long as both sides are ready. - Commerce Secretary Rajesh Agrawal"

New Delhi, January 15

India's Commerce Secretary Rajesh Agrawal asserted on Thursday that the much-anticipated first tranche of India-US BTA is "very near" but stopped short of putting out a timeline.

"There are engagements going on, and negotiating teams are talking virtually on issues which are still pending. But we can't put a deadline. It's very near. That will happen as long as both sides are ready, they feel it is the right time to announce," he told reporters.

A team of US officials led by Ambassador to India, Sergio Gor, Deputy USTR, Rick Switzer, met Commerce Minister Piyush Goyal on December 10, 2025 and the Commerce Secretary Agrawal on December 11, 2025, at Vanijya Bhawan, to take forward the negotiations.

Agrwal also noted that India's exports to the US are "still holding on to a positive trend."

"It was still doing around USD 7 billion (monthly) despite high tariffs. We are focusing more on areas where tariffs are less, or in areas where tariffs are there, and industry has been showing resilience and holding on to the supply chains," he said.

There were apprehensions that India's exports to the US would with additional tariffs imposed by the US administration.

Talking about India's energy imports, Commerce Secretary said India has been buying from all traditional suppliers but largely Middle East.

"We are buying a lot of oil from US these days. Import from US is increased," he said.

Energy trade has been a bone of contention in the trade deal talks with the US, and the Trump administration wants more shipments to come to India. India imports over 80 per cent of its energy needs.

On the issue of any possible trade disruptions with Iran, the Commerce Secretary said India has a very limited trade.

"We are looking at that. We are awaiting details and as and when details are there, we will look into it," he said.

He also gave an update on the India-Canada trade talks. "We are engaged. There was a positive decision to start engaging on trade talks and see how we can restart our negotiations. Both sides are engaged in finalizing Terms of Reference (ToR) for mutually beneficial trade agreement," he said.

India is actively negotiating trade agreements with several countries, in a bid to expand trade and secure long-term growth opportunities.

The coming months are expected to be critical, when the outcomes of these negotiations could redefine India's role in the global trade architecture and shape its economic trajectory for the next decade.

India and the US were initially aiming to complete the first tranche of an India-US bilateral trade agreement by fall of 2025, but new developments in the US trade policy landscape, that include tariffs, have altered those plans.

The BTA, formally proposed in February following directives from the leadership of both nations, seeks to more than double bilateral trade, from the current USD 191 billion to USD 500 billion by 2030. Talks were first announced during Prime Minister Narendra Modi's visit to Washington in February 2025.

- ANI

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Reader Comments

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Priya S
Doubling trade to $500 billion by 2030 is an ambitious target! 🇮🇳🇺🇸 This deal could be a game-changer for Indian exports, especially in tech and pharmaceuticals. The resilience shown by our exporters despite high tariffs is commendable. Jai Hind!
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Rohit P
The energy trade part is tricky. We're buying more US oil, which is good for diversifying away from the Middle East, but we must ensure it doesn't make us too dependent or hurt our refining sector. Strategic autonomy is key.
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Sarah B
Interesting to see the parallel talks with Canada mentioned. A multi-pronged trade strategy makes sense. Hope the negotiators are driving a hard bargain to protect Indian farmers and MSMEs in any deal. No repeat of the RCEP concerns, please.
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Vikram M
$7 billion monthly exports despite tariffs is impressive! Shows the underlying strength of our manufacturing and services. A finalized BTA could unlock so much more potential. Let's get this done, babus! The nation is waiting.
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Karthik V
The comment on "limited trade with Iran" is a diplomatic way of putting it. With the US involved, we have to walk a tightrope between our energy needs and geopolitical realities. Tough job for our negotiators.

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