Gujarat, Odisha Lead in Fiscal Health; Punjab, Bihar Struggle with Debt

A CareEdge Ratings report highlights Gujarat and Odisha as fiscally robust states with manageable debt levels and a strong focus on capital expenditure. In contrast, Punjab is under significant pressure due to elevated debt, high interest burdens, and a large share of non-developmental spending. States like Telangana, Andhra Pradesh, and Kerala have shown fiscal slippage, exhausting most of their deficit targets early in the fiscal year. Overall, while some states remain well-positioned, high borrowing and debt in others are keeping aggregate state borrowing elevated.

Key Points: State Fiscal Health: Gujarat, Odisha Strong; Punjab Under Pressure

  • Gujarat & Odisha have manageable debt & deficits
  • Punjab faces high debt & interest burden
  • Bihar has elevated debt but low interest payments
  • Telangana, Andhra, Kerala show fiscal slippage
  • Aggregate state borrowing remains elevated
2 min read

Gujarat, Odisha fare well on fiscal front; Punjab under pressure amid high debt levels: CareEdge Ratings

CareEdge report ranks Gujarat & Odisha fiscally strong with manageable debt, while Punjab, Bihar face high debt and deficit pressures.

"Odisha and Gujarat's fiscal landscape fares well with manageable levels of debt and deficits..... Punjab's fiscal performance is constrained by elevated levels of debt - CareEdge Ratings"

New Delhi, March 2

Gujarat and Odisha have emerged relatively better placed in terms of fiscal performance, with manageable levels of debt and deficits, while Punjab continues to face pressure due to elevated debt and interest burden, according to a report by CareEdge Ratings.

The report noted that Odisha and Gujarat's fiscal landscape fares well, supported by manageable debt and deficit levels along with low interest payments-to-revenue receipts.

Both states also have a high share of capital outlay in their total expenditure, indicating a stronger focus on asset creation and long-term development.

It stated "Odisha and Gujarat's fiscal landscape fares well with manageable levels of debt and deficits..... Punjab's fiscal performance is constrained by elevated levels of debt".

In contrast, Punjab's fiscal performance remains constrained by elevated levels of debt, deficits and interest payments-to-revenue.

The state also has a high share of non-developmental revenue expenditure in its total expenditure. This has likely constrained its outlay towards capital expenditure, thereby limiting its ability to allocate more resources for infrastructure and development projects.

The report further highlighted that debt and deficit levels remain elevated in Bihar. However, the state has low interest payments-to-revenue receipts. This is largely because Bihar has a relatively high share in the Centre's tax devolution, which has supported its revenue receipts. As a result, despite elevated debt and deficits, its interest payments-to-revenue receipts ratio remains lower.

States such as Telangana, Andhra Pradesh and Kerala have shown some fiscal slippage in the current fiscal year so far. Telangana and Andhra Pradesh have already exhausted their full-year budgeted fiscal deficit amount in the first nine months of FY26. Kerala has also exhausted close to 84 per cent of its full-year budgeted fiscal deficit target so far.

The report also mentioned that in FY25, freebies were announced in states such as Maharashtra, Odisha and Jharkhand. It said this is expected to exert some pressure despite their relatively encouraging fiscal position.

At the aggregate level, state government borrowing remains elevated this year at Rs 12.5 trillion, which is 16.6 per cent higher than Rs 10.7 trillion in FY25. Higher redemptions till FY31 are expected to keep state borrowings elevated.

Overall, while states such as Gujarat and Odisha remain relatively well-positioned, fiscal pressures persist in states with higher debt and deficit levels, keeping overall state borrowing elevated.

- ANI

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Reader Comments

P
Priya S
As someone from Odisha, it's good to see our state being recognized for fiscal prudence. Hope this translates to even better infrastructure and job opportunities on the ground. The focus on development over freebies is the right approach.
R
Rohit P
The situation in Punjab is very worrying. High debt, high interest burden, and low capital expenditure is a recipe for long-term economic stagnation. The state needs a complete overhaul of its fiscal policy, beyond political blame games.
S
Sarah B
Interesting analysis. It shows a clear divide between states investing for the future and those caught in a cycle of high spending and debt. The aggregate borrowing of Rs 12.5 trillion is a huge number that affects the entire country's economy.
K
Karthik V
The report mentions freebies in Maharashtra, Odisha, and Jharkhand. While short-term relief is needed, unsustainable freebies will hurt these states too. We've seen this movie before in Punjab and now Kerala. Fiscal responsibility is non-negotiable.
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Nisha Z
Respectfully, while Gujarat's model is praised, we must also ask if the benefits of this "fiscal prudence" are equitably distributed to all sections of society? High capital outlay is good, but its social impact matters just as much.
V
Varun X
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