War in West Asia Triggers Pakistan's Sudden LNG Crisis from Surplus

Pakistan began 2026 with an LNG surplus due to falling demand from solar adoption and lower industrial use. The situation reversed abruptly after a US-Israel operation against Iran sparked regional conflict, disrupting the Strait of Hormuz. Iranian drone strikes damaged Qatar's critical Ras Laffan LNG export complex, leading to a force majeure declaration and production cuts. This severed a key supply line, triggering an acute shortage in Pakistan's already strained energy sector.

Key Points: How West Asia War Caused Pakistan's LNG Shortage

  • LNG surplus flipped to shortage in weeks
  • Conflict disrupted Strait of Hormuz traffic
  • Qatar's Ras Laffan complex hit, forcing force majeure
  • Pakistan's energy circular debt worsened
2 min read

From surplus to outage: How war in West Asia triggered Pakistan's LNG crisis

Pakistan's LNG market flipped from surplus to crisis after conflict disrupted Qatari exports via the Strait of Hormuz, causing energy turmoil.

"QatarEnergy declared force majeure, halting supply commitments due to extraordinary circumstances. - Al Jazeera report"

New Delhi, April 4

Pakistan's energy sector has been thrown into turmoil after a sudden geopolitical shock flipped the country's liquefied natural gas market from oversupply to acute shortage within weeks, a report has said.

At the start of 2026, Pakistan was grappling with excess LNG. Demand had been declining steadily for three years, falling from 8.2 million tonnes in 2021 to about 6.1 million tonnes by late 2025, according to Al Jazeera report.

The drop was driven by the rapid adoption of solar energy and reduced industrial activity, which together cut into gas consumption.

To manage the glut, authorities quietly diverted surplus LNG cargoes to international buyers and even shut down domestic gas wells to prevent pressure build-up in pipelines.

Excess gas that could not be rerouted was pushed into household networks at a financial loss, worsening the country's already ballooning circular debt in the energy sector.

However, the situation changed dramatically after a major conflict erupted in West Asia. On February 28, the United States and Israel launched a large-scale military operation against Iran, triggering a chain reaction that disrupted global energy flows.

Iran retaliated with missile and drone strikes across the region, leading to a near halt in traffic through the critical Strait of Hormuz, a chokepoint that handles roughly one-fifth of the world's oil and gas shipments.

The fallout for global gas markets was immediate. Iranian drones struck key facilities at Ras Laffan Industrial City on March 2, forcing Qatar to suspend production at the world's largest LNG export complex.

QatarEnergy declared force majeure, halting supply commitments due to extraordinary circumstances, as per the report.

The conflict escalated further when Israel targeted Iran's massive South Pars gas field on March 18.

The field shares an underground reservoir with Qatar's North Field, raising fears of prolonged disruption to production in both countries.

Subsequent retaliatory strikes further damaged infrastructure at Ras Laffan, forcing Qatar to cut LNG output by 17 percent, with repairs expected to take years.

- IANS

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Reader Comments

P
Priya S
The rapid shift from surplus to crisis is alarming. It shows how fragile energy security can be when reliant on volatile regions. India must accelerate its solar and wind projects to reduce such external dependencies. 🇮🇳
R
Rohit P
A classic case of poor strategic planning. They had a surplus but no proper storage or long-term contracts to hedge against risk? Meanwhile, our government is signing deals with Russia and the US for energy security. Different approaches, different results.
S
Sarah B
Reading this from a development perspective. The human cost of such a crisis will be immense—power cuts, industries shutting down, inflation. It's a tragedy for ordinary citizens caught in geopolitical crossfires.
V
Vikram M
The Strait of Hormuz blockage is a nightmare scenario we've all feared. This will push global LNG prices through the roof. Time for SAARC nations to seriously talk about regional energy grids and shared reserves, beyond politics.
K
Karthik V
With respect, the article misses a key point. The "reduced industrial activity" that led to the initial surplus is itself a sign of deeper economic troubles. The energy crisis is a symptom, not the cause. Hope stability returns for the sake of the people.
M
Michael C
The environmental angle is concerning too. Damaging shared gas fields could have long

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