Food prices remain stable despite rainfall deficit: Report
New Delhi, July 6
India's monsoon rainfall remained weak despite some improvement over the previous week, with food price inflation remaining stable, a report has said.
The report from Emkay Global Financial Services noted that food price inflation remains contained for now, with weekly retail changes showing vegetables up 1.5 per cent and eggs 1 per cent, while cereals rose 0.5 per cent and oils & fats up 0.2 per cent.
On an annual basis, oils and fats were up 11 per cent and eggs up 6 per cent, vegetables up 3 per cent, milk up 3 per cent, spices up 3 per cent, cereals up 2 per cent, and pulses up 1 per cent.
Continued deficient monsoons over key food-producing states such as Maharashtra, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, and Uttar Pradesh, among others, could imperil food supplies and put upward pressure on prices in the coming weeks.
The report further highlighted that cumulative rainfall as of July 3 was 31 per cent below the long‑period average.
The June month ended with rainfall 40 per cent lower than the long period average, making it the worst June month for rainfall in the last decade, it said.
The report said that sowing activity has declined, as the monsoon remains weak, leaving reservoir storage critically low.
Pan-India reservoir levels are at just 26 per cent of capacity and 39 per cent lower than over the same period last year.
Central India has the highest capacity (32 per cent), followed by North India (29 per cent) and West India (28 per cent). Storage levels are significantly low in South India (20 per cent) and East India (19 per cent).
The report flagged that the India Meteorological Department expects July 2026 rainfall to be below normal, keeping concerns around the monsoon and the Kharif sowing season elevated.
— IANS
Reader Comments
The real worry is what happens next month. Reservoirs at 26% and July rain predicted to be below normal? 🚨 That’s not just a price issue, it’s a water shortage crisis for farmers in South and East India.
Good that vegetables are only up 3% compared to last year, but eggs and oils are climbing fast. The government should release buffer stocks for pulses and oils before Diwali, otherwise it will be too late.
Being from the US, I find it interesting how India's food inflation stays low despite weak monsoons. In America, a 31% rainfall deficit would spike prices immediately. Your supply chains must be very resilient. 🌧️
I don't trust these reports. The lady at my sabzi mandi says she's paying 10% more for potatoes and onions this week. Maybe wholesale is "stable," but retail is a different story entirely.
Central India having the highest reservoir capacity is ironic given how parched Maharashtra and MP look right now. Climate change is real, and we need to invest in drip irrigation and drought-resistant crops asap.
I’m a farmer in Punjab and I can tell
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