GST Collections Defy Rate Cuts, Show 6.1% Growth on Resilient Demand

India's GST collections for December 2025 grew 6.1% year-on-year to approximately ₹1.75 lakh crore, demonstrating resilience despite significant rate cuts implemented earlier in the year. Experts attribute this growth to a 19.7% surge in import-related taxes and stable domestic consumption, indicating underlying economic strength. The data reinforces the structural maturity of India's formal economy as it absorbs major tax reforms. Analysts suggest these trends strengthen the case for advancing GST 2.0 reforms, including further compliance automation and litigation reduction.

Key Points: GST Growth at 6.1% Despite Rate Cuts, Signals Stable Demand

  • 6.1% YoY GST growth to ₹1.75L cr
  • Import IGST surges 19.7%
  • Domestic collections remain stable
  • Experts see path for GST 2.0 reforms
3 min read

Experts say GST collections show resilience after rate cuts; point to stable domestic demand

December 2025 GST collections rise 6.1% to ₹1.75 lakh crore, showing resilience post rate rationalization. Experts point to stable domestic demand and strong imports.

"Despite the steep cut in GST rates... a growth of around 6 per cent in gross monthly collection is encouraging. - Pratik Jain, PwC"

New Delhi, January 2

The Goods and Services Tax data of December 2025 reflects resilience in India's tax collections despite steep rate cuts earlier in the year, with imports, steady domestic demand and higher refunds shaping the overall revenue picture, stated experts reacting positively to the GST numbers.

Pratik Jain, Partner at Price Waterhouse & Co LLP, said that the growth of monthly GST collections is encouraging even after the significant reduction in GST rates.

He said, "Despite the steep cut in GST rates earlier this year, a growth of around 6 per cent in gross monthly collection is encouraging, though it's largely attributable to imports. If this momentum continues for the remaining months of this fiscal, the YoY growth of around 9 per cent is still possible."

Manoj Mishra, Partner and Tax Controversy Management Leader at Grant Thornton Bharat, said the December GST numbers reinforce the structural strength of India's formal economy.

Gross GST collections grew 6.1 per cent year-on-year to Rs 1.75 lakh crore, which he described as an encouraging signal.

He stated, "The composition of collections is equally telling with import-related IGST growth of 19.7 per cent points to resilient supply chains and manufacturing momentum, while steady domestic collections reflect stable consumption."

As the Union Budget 2026-27 approaches, he said these trends strengthen the case for building further on GST 2.0 reforms, including automation of compliances, reduction of unwarranted litigation and a calibrated credit framework.

Karthik Mani, Partner, Indirect Tax at BDO India, said net GST collections for December 2025 declined by around 4.3 per cent on a month-on-month basis.

He added, "The gross GST collections on domestic transactions for December 2025 have largely remained flat on a year-on-year basis, despite the impact on revenue in the current period due to major rate cuts in September 2025, indicating some improvement in the economic activity on a year-on-year basis. The next few months should give a decent indication of new normal monthly GST collections, after adjusting for rate cuts."

Mahesh Jaising, Partner and Indirect Tax Leader at Deloitte India, said GST collections for December 2025 reflect continued revenue buoyancy supported by festive-season consumption and rate rationalisation measures.

He said, "The GST council's policies have clearly translated into higher compliance and improved cash flows across sectors. These trends indicate that even post the GST 2.0 path-breaking tax rate reductions, the tax system continues to mature, demonstrating both elasticity and stability as the economy scales."

The Goods and Services Tax (GST) collections in December, in gross terms, rose 6.1 per cent to about 1.75 lakh crore compared to about 1.64 lakh crore in the same month last year, according to official data released Thursday.

- ANI

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Reader Comments

S
Shreya B
Encouraging numbers, but I'm a bit concerned. The article says growth is "largely attributable to imports." That means our own domestic manufacturing might not be firing on all cylinders. We need to focus more on 'Make in India' for sustainable growth, not just rely on imports for tax revenue.
A
Aman W
As a small business owner, the reduction in compliance burden and automation they mention for GST 2.0 is what we really need. The rate cut helped, but the real pain point is the paperwork and fear of notices. Simplify that, and compliance will truly improve.
P
Priya S
Positive data for sure! The festive season demand definitely played a role. It shows the resilience of the Indian consumer. Hopefully, the government uses this stable revenue to invest more in infrastructure and healthcare in the upcoming budget.
K
Karthik V
The experts sound optimistic, but let's see the ground reality. The net collections declined month-on-month. Rate cuts are good for the common man's pocket, but the government must ensure the revenue gap is managed without putting pressure elsewhere. A balanced approach is key.
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Michael C
Interesting analysis. From an outside perspective, India's GST system seems to be maturing well. The fact that collections held up after significant rate rationalization speaks volumes about formalization and better compliance. A model other emerging economies could learn from.

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