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Expert Warns US-Iran Ceasefire Could "Erupt in a Second" Amid Lebanon Strikes

Foreign affairs expert Sagiv Steinberg warns that the current calm between the US and Iran is deceptive and hostilities could reignite at any moment. He highlights that the ceasefire does not cover the ongoing conflict between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon, which continues to see daily strikes. Conflicting statements from involved nations, particularly regarding Lebanon's inclusion in the truce, create major uncertainty. The situation is further complicated by a White House ultimatum concerning the Strait of Hormuz, with key negotiations set for Saturday.

Key Points: US-Iran Ceasefire Fragile, Could Collapse, Expert Warns

  • Fragile US-Iran truce
  • Lebanon conflict excluded
  • Hezbollah-Israel clashes continue
  • Dispute over ceasefire terms
  • Strait of Hormuz ultimatum
2 min read

"Everything can erupt in a second again": Foreign Affairs expert Sagiv Steinberg on US-Iran ceasefire

Foreign affairs expert Sagiv Steinberg warns the US-Iran ceasefire is extremely fragile, with Israel-Hezbollah clashes threatening to reignite wider conflict.

"Now everything is calm, but everything can erupt in a second again. - Sagiv Steinberg"

Tel Aviv, April 10

Director General and Director of Communications at the Jerusalem Centre for Security and Foreign Affairs, Sagiv Steinberg, warned that the ceasefire between the US and Iran can be broken at any second, expressing doubts over the outcome of the negotiation talks in Islamabad.

Speaking with ANI, Sagiv Steinberg said, "When you view it in the Israeli-US-Iran war, everything seems to be quiet now. But as far as we can see what happens with the Strait of Hormuz, the dialogue between the US and Iran, we don't know what will happen with the conversations in Islamabad on Saturday. Now everything is calm, but everything can erupt in a second again."

Speaking about Israel's continuous attack on Lebanon, Steinberg said, "When we look at the second front, it's the Israeli-Lebanon front that influenced the first front of the Israeli-American-Iran front. There is no ceasefire over there. Since the morning, Israel has bombed and destroyed Hezbollah terrorists, and Hezbollah fired on the north of Israel at the civilians"

Speaking on the conflicting statements of Pakistan over Lebanon's inclusion in the temporary ceasefire agreement, Steinberg said, "No one knows what goes on over there. No one knows what the true proposal is that is on the table. But we can hear what the Vice President, Vance, said, and we can hear what the spokesperson of the White House said. Lebanon is not a part of this game because Lebanon and Hezbollah decided to start a war with Israel."

"The White House supports the Prime Minister's tweet, and we will have to wait until Saturday, and maybe earlier... There is an ultimatum from the White House to open the Strait of Hormuz, and we will have to see where it goes, whether it goes into Saturday or even earlier, and the bombing of Iran will erupt again," he added.

The developments come as the fragile ceasefire agreement between the United States and Iran hangs in the balance, with Tehran stating that the truce also includes the halt to Israeli military operations in Lebanon.

However, both Washington and Israel have maintained that the ceasefire does not extend to Lebanon, a disagreement that has further complicated diplomatic efforts and heightened the risk of the truce collapsing.

- ANI

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Reader Comments

P
Priya S
The expert is right to be cautious. Ceasefires in this region are often fragile. India has always advocated for dialogue and diplomacy. We have good relations with all parties involved and hope they can find a middle ground.
R
Rohit P
It's worrying that Lebanon is being treated as a separate issue. Civilians are suffering on all sides. The international community, including India, should push for a comprehensive peace, not a piecemeal one. The focus should be on saving lives.
S
Sarah B
Reading this from Delhi. The conflicting statements from Pakistan are adding to the confusion. It shows how complex these negotiations are. Stability in the Middle East is crucial for India's strategic and economic interests.
V
Vikram M
While I understand Israel's security concerns, the continuous bombing raises serious questions. A ceasefire that doesn't include all active fronts is destined to fail. India's position of advocating for restraint and dialogue is the right one.
K
Karthik V
The ultimatum about the Strait of Hormuz is the key. If that shipping lane is threatened, it will have a direct and immediate impact on us in India. Our foreign policy needs to be proactive in engaging with both the US and Iran to ensure stability.

We welcome thoughtful discussions from our readers. Please keep comments respectful and on-topic.

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