Vance Doubts US-Iran Talks, Questions Pakistan as Venue for Peace Summit

British commentator David Vance is deeply skeptical of the high-level US-Iran talks being held in Islamabad, stating the parties are too far apart for a credible deal. He questions the choice of Pakistan as a neutral venue, suggesting India would have been better, and argues the negotiations risk legitimizing both Islamabad and Tehran. Vance supports former President Donald Trump's strategy of combining diplomacy with military pressure to leverage the Iranian regime. He also raises the geopolitical dimension, claiming China is re-arming Iran, framing the crisis as part of a broader US-China power struggle.

Key Points: Expert Skeptical of US-Iran Talks in Pakistan, Backs Trump

  • Expert doubts US-Iran deal viability
  • Questions Pakistan as neutral venue
  • Warns talks risk legitimizing Iran
  • Backs Trump's military pressure strategy
  • Highlights China's role in re-arming Iran
5 min read

"Don't see how there can be any credible deal between these two parties": Political commentator David Vance on peace talks

Political commentator David Vance expresses deep distrust of US-Iran peace negotiations in Islamabad, questioning the venue and predicting failure.

"I honestly can't see how there is going to be an outcome because the parties seem so far apart. - David Vance"

Belfast, April 11

British political commentator and writer David Vance on Saturday has expressed deep skepticism over the ongoing high-level talks between the United States and Iran in Islamabad, warning that a meaningful breakthrough is unlikely given the two parties seem "so far apart".

Speaking to ANI, Vance said the world is closely monitoring the negotiations due to their potential impact on global energy markets. " The world will watch very closely because, obviously, the big factor is things like global energy costs," he noted. However, he added that unlike past diplomatic engagements, he does not expect a positive outcome. " I honestly can't see how there is going to be an outcome because the parties seem so far apart," he said.

The talks are being led on the American side by US Vice President JD Vance, marking a rare instance of direct high-level engagement between Washington and Tehran after weeks of escalating conflict.

Vance also questioned the choice of Pakistan as the venue and the mediator. " I find that very, very strange. I mean, if they wanted to have a neutral arbitrator, it could have been India. I don't understand why it's Pakistan," he said, adding that the setting undermines his confidence in the talks. He said, "So that's another reason that I'm very distrustful of these talks. It's being held in the wrong place and in many regards on the wrong principles."

Raising concerns over the broader implications of any agreement, he asked, "What is a positive outcome you might equally ask? Is it just to say let's have a form of peace and abandon the Iranian people who rose up and were slaughtered in their thousands? Is that a positive outcome? I don't think so." He further alleged that the negotiations risk legitimizing both Islamabad and Tehran.

He said, "So I've got major questions with this one. And also, you know, just as it legitimizes Pakistan, which shouldn't be legitimized in my view anyway, just as it does that, it also gives Iran credibility which it shouldn't have."

On regional tensions, particularly involving Hezbollah in Lebanon, Vance argued that ongoing hostilities weaken the prospects of a durable agreement.

He said, "When it comes to Lebanon, this is Israel attacking Hezbollah. Hezbollah is basically, as you know, a proxy for Iran. So what this demonstrates to me is that the US was right to attack Iran because Iran has all these global terrorist proxies in Lebanon, in South Yemen, in Gaza, they've got them all over the place. And so I think Israel's right to attack Hezbollah because Hezbollah is a threat to Israel. But now that Iran is saying that that's a precondition, that there can be no attacks."

"The parties are so far apart. And I don't see how a deal's going to happen," he said, adding that any agreement would likely be short-lived. " I don't believe it's going to hold anyway. And that even might be the objective of this," he said.

Highlighting the strategic importance of the Strait of Hormuz, Vance stressed that control over the vital shipping route has become a major flashpoint. "The whole world, and I'm sure it's same with you as well, we're all being held ransom over energy costs. And that has to be sorted out, " he said.

He also backed the US administration's dual approach of diplomacy and military pressure under US President Donald Trump. He said, "But I don't think you sort it out by having negotiations. I think you sort it out militarily. And that's what President Trump needs to do."

He added, "What President Trump is doing, he's leveraging maximum pressure on the Iranian regime. They know that the military might of the US is continuing to gather in the region. And therefore, if they walk away from any talks without giving Trump what he wants, then there could be a terrible onslaught against them. So I think Trump is just doing a very good negotiation from his point of view. And obviously, the threat of US military power is significant."

On the geopolitical dimension, Vance suggested the crisis reflects a broader power struggle. "China is also a party we have to watch. China is re-arming Iran as far as I can understand as we speak. So China's re-arming Iran. So in a way, you know, this is China versus America and Iran's just a proxy," he claimed.

As the world watches with bated breath the slippery ceasefire talks, a US aircraft carrying a team for negotiations with Iran has landed in Pakistan's Islamabad, Al Jazeera reported, citing its sources.

The Iranian delegation arrived after midnight, led by Parliament Speaker MB Ghalibaf. The US team comprises lead negotiator Vice President JD Vance with Special Envoy Steve Witkoff and President Donald Trump's son-in-law, Jared Kushner, as per Al Jazeera.

After the ceasefire announcement last week, Iran's Supreme National Security Council said on April 8 that talks could continue for up to 15 days.

- ANI

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Reader Comments

S
Sarah B
As an observer, the skepticism is understandable. The core issues—regional proxies, nuclear ambitions, and the Strait of Hormuz—are monumental. A 15-day talk window feels more like a pause for breath than a path to a lasting solution. The world's energy security shouldn't hinge on such fragile processes.
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Priya S
While I agree the parties are far apart, the commentator's full-throated support for a military solution is worrying. We've seen where that leads. Diplomacy is messy and slow, but it's the only way forward. The mention of China re-arming Iran shows this is a global power play, and ordinary people in the region pay the price.
R
Rohit P
The impact on global oil prices is the real concern for us in India. Petrol prices are already sky-high. Any instability in the Strait of Hormuz sends shockwaves through our economy. Hope they at least stabilize the situation, even if a grand deal is impossible.
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Vikram M
His analysis feels a bit one-sided, frankly. Dismissing the entire process because of the venue is simplistic. The world can't afford another major conflict. Talking, even in a less-than-ideal location, is better than not talking at all. Let's see what the 15 days bring.
K
Karthik V
The China angle is crucial. If this is truly a US-China proxy conflict playing out via Iran, then the stakes are even higher for the Global South. India must navigate this very carefully, protecting its energy and strategic interests. A fragile peace is better than a hot war on our doorstep.

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