Assam CM Sarma Warns BJP Workers: Don't Celebrate Early Poll Projections

Assam Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma has cautioned party workers against celebrating an opinion poll projecting a BJP victory in the 2026 state elections. He stressed that crucial seat-sharing discussions within the NDA alliance are still pending and have not been finalized. Sarma stated that the political landscape will only become clearer by February once the Congress finalizes its own alliance. He emphasized that the only result that matters will come from the Electronic Voting Machines on election day.

Key Points: Assam CM Cautions Against Early Victory Polls for 2026

  • Opinion poll projects BJP win in 2026
  • CM warns against early celebration
  • NDA seat-sharing not finalised
  • Congress alliance yet to take shape
  • Real result will come from EVMs
2 min read

CM Sarma cautions party workers against opinion polls predicting BJP's victory in Assam

Assam CM Himanta Sarma urges caution over opinion polls predicting BJP win, stressing seat-sharing talks with NDA allies are still pending.

"Until then, we should not feel happy by looking at any survey. We must continue working. - Himanta Biswa Sarma"

Guwahati, Jan 4

Assam Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma, on Sunday, cautioned against drawing early conclusions from a recent opinion poll projecting a third consecutive term for the Bharatiya Janata Party, stressing that crucial seat-sharing decisions within the National Democratic Alliance are yet to be finalised ahead of the 2026 state Assembly elections.

Responding to the latest opinion poll by an organisation, which forecasts the BJP winning between 69 to 74 seats in the 126-member Assembly, CM Sarma said the time was not ripe to celebrate survey projections.

"Surveys are coming out and they show us in a good position, but I believe the time for surveys has not yet arrived," he told reporters.

The Chief Minister said that the poll's projections on alliance partners highlight the uncertainty surrounding seat-sharing arrangements.

"The survey shows the BJP with around 75 seats and the Asom Gana Parishad with nine seats. Whether we will contest all these seats or not has not been decided yet," CM Sarma said, adding that clarity would only emerge once discussions within the NDA are concluded.

He also said that the Opposition's alliance structure is yet to take final shape.

"By February, once the Congress finalises its alliance and we complete our seat-sharing talks, the picture will become clearer. Until then, we should not feel happy by looking at any survey. We must continue working," CM Sarma said, adding that the real poll result would come from the Electronic Voting Machines.

The opinion poll, conducted between November 15 and December 31, 2025, projects the NDA securing close to 90 seats overall.

It estimates the Asom Gana Parishad winning between eight and 11 seats, while the Bodoland People's Front is projected to secure eight to 10 seats.

The Congress is forecast to win between 25 and 29 seats, while smaller parties such as the All India United Democratic Front, United People's Party Liberal, Raijor Dal, Assam Jatiya Parishad and CPI(M) are projected to secure minimal or no representation.

In terms of vote share, the BJP is projected at 39 per cent, marginally ahead of the Congress at 37 per cent.

Region-wise, the NDA is projected to maintain a strong hold in Upper Assam and Bodoland, with improved prospects in Lower Assam and Barak Valley following delimitation.

- IANS

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Reader Comments

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Priya S
Wise words from the CM. It shows maturity. In 2021, many surveys were off the mark. The opposition alliance, if it gets its act together by February, could be a formidable challenge. Congress at 37% vote share is not a number to ignore. The fight is still very much on.
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Rohit P
Good to see a leader not getting carried away! But honestly, the writing is on the wall. Development in Assam under BJP has been visible. Roads, bridges, peace in Bodoland... people have seen the work. These surveys just reflect the ground reality. #AssamWithBJP
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Sarah B
As an observer, this is a smart political move. By downplaying the poll, he manages expectations and keeps party workers from becoming complacent. It also puts pressure on alliance partners during seat-sharing talks. Very strategic.
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Nikhil C
Respectfully, while the caution is good, I hope this isn't just talk. Sometimes after such surveys, local workers become overconfident and stop connecting with voters. The CM must ensure the grassroots machinery keeps working hard. The 2% vote share difference with Congress is nothing to take lightly.
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Kavya N
The key point is the delimitation effect in Lower Assam and Barak Valley. That could change many equations. Also, what about the AIUDF? Their vote share matters in many seats. The final picture will only be clear after alliances are sealed. Chalo, kaam pe dhyan do! 💪

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