Citi Downgrades Vedanta to 'Sell' on Zinc Worries, Stock Falls 3%

Citi Research double downgrades Vedanta from 'buy' to 'sell', cutting target price to Rs 265. The brokerage cites a weak outlook on zinc prices and uncertainty over Vedanta's revised dividend policy. Vedanta's earnings heavily depend on zinc, which contributes over 90% of its EBITDA, making it vulnerable. The stock fell 3.35% intra-day and has lost 57% in the past month.

Key Points: Citi Downgrades Vedanta to 'Sell' on Zinc Concerns

  • Citi downgrades Vedanta to 'sell' with target price Rs 265
  • Zinc price weakness and dividend policy uncertainty cited
  • Stock drops 3.35% intra-day to Rs 305.80
  • Vedanta down 57% in one month, 40% in six months
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Citi downgrades Vedanta to 'sell', cuts target price to Rs 265 on zinc concerns

Citi Research downgrades Vedanta from 'buy' to 'sell', cuts target to Rs 265 citing weak zinc outlook and dividend policy uncertainty.

"Vedanta's earnings profile remains heavily dependent on its zinc business, which contributes more than 90 per cent of the company's attributable EBITDA. - Citi Research"

Mumbai, May 7

Shares of Vedanta Limited⁠ dropped 3.35 per cent on Thursday after brokerage firm Citi Research issued a sharp double downgrade on the stock, turning bearish on the metals major amid concerns over zinc prices and changes in its dividend policy.

Citi downgraded Vedanta from 'buy' to 'sell' and slashed its target price to Rs 265, signaling limited upside from current levels.

The brokerage cited a weak outlook on zinc along with uncertainty surrounding the company's capital allocation strategy as the primary reasons behind its negative stance.

Following the development, the shares were trading lower at Rs 305.80, down by Rs 10.60 or 3.35 per cent during the intra-day trading session.

According to Citi, Vedanta's earnings profile remains heavily dependent on its zinc business, which contributes more than 90 per cent of the company's attributable EBITDA.

The brokerage warned that its bearish outlook on zinc prices leaves Vedanta vulnerable to any further softness in the metal market, potentially impacting profitability.

The brokerage also flagged concerns over the company's revised dividend framework.

Vedanta is no longer tied to its earlier dividend distribution policy, a move Citi believes creates uncertainty around future cash deployment and shareholder payouts.

Vedanta has historically been a preferred pick among income-focused investors due to its strong dividend payouts.

However, Citi noted that the change in policy weakens one of the key pillars of the company's investment case.

The brokerage further stated that Vedanta appears fairly valued at current London Metal Exchange (LME) spot prices, making the risk-reward equation unattractive at existing levels.

On equity front, the stock has delivered a positive return of Rs 20.50 or 7.19 per cent in last five days.

However, in last on month, investors clocked massive wealth erosion as shares were dropped by Rs 407.45 or 57.13 per cent.

The downward trend continued in last six months as it was down by Rs 209.25 or 40.63 per cent during the tenure.

- IANS

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Reader Comments

M
Michael C
It's not just zinc—the whole commodity cycle is turning. Copper, aluminum, everything is getting hammered. Citi's downgrade is a warning bell for the entire metals sector.
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Priya S
Yaar, I bought Vedanta at Rs 400 thinking dividends would cover the downside. Now 57% loss in one month? 😭 This is painful. Should I average or exit? Help!
R
Rohit P
Citi is right to be concerned. Vedanta's dividend policy change is alarming—why would any company abandon a strategy that attracted long-term investors? Something is off.
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Sarah B
Zinc prices are falling globally due to weak demand from China. Vedanta's entire earnings are riding on zinc—this is a high-wire act without a safety net.
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Vikram M
Markets are irrational in short run but efficient in long run. If you can't handle 57% losses, don't buy commodity stocks. HDFC Securities and Motilal Oswal say hold. I'm with them. 📉📈
K
Kavya N
Honestly, Citi's analysis is sound. When 90% of EBITDA comes from one metal, and that metal is tanking, you're in trouble. Add dividend policy uncertainty, and it's

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