China Threatens Rare Earth Curbs on Japan, Stoking Tech War Fears

China has signaled it may restrict exports of rare earth materials to Japan, citing national security and dual-use concerns. This move threatens Japanese industries, particularly automotive and technology, which rely on these critical elements. The warning revives memories of a 2010 incident where China disrupted rare earth supplies during a territorial dispute. While Japan has reduced its overall dependence, it remains heavily reliant on China for specific heavy rare earths essential for advanced motors and technology.

Key Points: China Eyes Rare Earth Export Curbs to Japan, Risking Supply Chains

  • China may restrict dual-use exports to Japan
  • Rare earths are vital for EVs and defense
  • Japan recalls 2010 supply shock
  • Japan has cut but not eliminated reliance
  • Curbs could slow exports via strict checks
3 min read

China hints at rare earth export curbs to Japan, raising fresh geopolitical concerns

China signals potential restrictions on rare earth exports to Japan, raising geopolitical tensions and threatening key tech and auto industries.

"stopping rare-earth shipments could hit a wide range of industries - former Global Times editor"

New Delhi, Jan 8

Tensions between China and Japan have escalated after Beijing signalled that it may restrict exports of rare earth materials to Japan, raising serious concerns among Japanese businesses and policymakers, a report has said.

China's Ministry of Commerce said it would ban the export of all "dual-use" items to Japan, citing national security reasons, according to The New York Times.

These are products that can be used for both civilian and military purposes. While the official statement did not clearly name the items involved, reports in state-linked media suggested that rare earth elements could be included in the restrictions.

According to China Daily, Chinese authorities are considering tighter checks on export licences for medium and heavy rare earths.

These materials are critical for many modern technologies, including electric vehicle motors, electronics and advanced defence systems.

Soon after the announcement, a former editor of the state-affiliated Global Times warned on social media that stopping rare-earth shipments could hit a wide range of industries.

He added that no option should be ruled out, adding to market anxiety.

For Japan, the warning brings back memories of 2010, when China quietly halted rare-earth exports during a territorial dispute between the two countries.

Although no formal ban was announced at the time, the move disrupted Japanese industries and sent shockwaves through the economy.

Experts believe China may not impose an outright ban this time, but could instead slow exports through lengthy screening processes.

Yoshikiyo Shimamine, a senior fellow at the Dai-ichi Life Research Institute, said China could use strict checks to ensure rare earths are not used for military purposes, effectively creating a backdoor export ban, reported NYT.

Shimamine said rare earths pose the biggest economic risk among the items covered by China's dual-use controls because they are essential to many industries, especially Japan's automobile sector.

He warned that prolonged restrictions could have a serious impact on the Japanese economy.

China has already disrupted global supply chains in recent years by tightening controls on rare-earth exports.

These steps forced countries such as the United States and the European Union to look for alternative sources and reduce their dependence on China.

In the past, China's dominance in rare earths has also been used as leverage in trade and technology disputes.

Japan has spent the last 15 years trying to reduce its dependence on Chinese rare earths.

Its reliance has fallen to around 60-70 per cent today, from nearly 90 per cent in 2010.

However, China still controls most global production, and Japan remains almost fully dependent on China for heavy rare earths such as dysprosium and terbium, which are crucial for high-performance motors and advanced technologies.

- IANS

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Reader Comments

P
Priya S
China using economic tools for political messaging is becoming a pattern. Japan learned the hard way in 2010 and is still 60-70% dependent. It shows how difficult it is to decouple from a dominant supplier. 🤔
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Rohit P
While the focus is on Japan, this affects the global tech supply chain. EV motors, electronics... everything gets impacted. Hope Indian manufacturers have contingency plans. Time to look at partnerships with Australia and other producers.
S
Sarah B
Interesting to see the 'dual-use' justification being used. It's a smart, non-explicit way to exert pressure. Japan reducing dependence from 90% to ~65% in 15 years is actually impressive, but shows how long these transitions take.
K
Karthik V
A respectful criticism: Our own media often frames such issues only in a China-vs-others lens. We should also analyze what India's strategic mineral policy is. Do we have one? Or are we also vulnerable in the long run?
M
Michael C
The backdoor ban through lengthy screening is the real concern. It creates uncertainty without a formal announcement, which is worse for business planning. Japan's auto sector will be watching this very closely.

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