Budget 2026-27 Boosts Visibility for Defence, Manufacturing & Energy Sectors

The Union Budget 2026-27 has enhanced medium-term earnings visibility for sectors aligned with public capital expenditure and policy priorities, according to an investment report. The budget signals continuity in capital formation, with a sharp focus on strategic manufacturing, defence expansion, and energy-transition themes. Analysts note that the increased defence capital outlay and spending on pharmaceuticals and chemical parks indicate a push for building domestic capability and ecosystems. The report also suggests that Indian markets are entering a phase of maturity, with nominal GDP growth settling around 10%, and that current valuation adjustments are part of a typical long-term wealth-creation cycle.

Key Points: Budget 2026-27: Capex-Linked Sectors Get Earnings Visibility Boost

  • Defence capex gets sharp increase
  • Focus on manufacturing & logistics ecosystems
  • Energy transition & pharma innovation prioritized
  • Markets in a maturity phase, not ultra-high growth
2 min read

Budget 2026-27 improves medium‑term earnings visibility for capex‑linked sectors

Union Budget 2026-27 strengthens medium-term outlook for defence, manufacturing, logistics, and energy-transition sectors, analysts report.

"Budget allocations point to intent, not optics. - Shashank Udupa"

New Delhi, Feb 4

The Union Budget 2026-27 strengthened medium-term earnings visibility for sectors aligned with public capex and policy priorities, even though earnings recovery will take time, a report said on Wednesday.

The report from small case managers said the Budget opened "actionable opportunities across defence ecosystems, manufacturing‑linked businesses, logistics, select auto and ancillaries, energy‑transition themes and innovation‑led pharmaceuticals."

The report said sharp market reactions came to selective measures such as changes in derivatives taxation and argued that Budget's deeper signals point to continuity in capital formation, strategic manufacturing and defence‑led expansion.

The investment platform noted the recently announced India-US trade agreement as a positive development, adding that oil and gas, clean technology, nuclear energy, rare earths, data centres and artificial intelligence are top sectors to benefit from the deal.

Divam Sharma, smallcase manager and CEO & co‑founder of Green Portfolio, said many investors are experiencing their "first prolonged phase of weak earnings and subdued sentiment".

"Indian markets are no longer in an ultra-high growth phase. Nominal GDP growth has settled closer to 10 per cent, which is a sign of maturity-not stress," Sharma said.

Valuation resets and drawdowns, especially in small caps, are consistent with historical market behaviour and should be viewed as part of a longer wealth-creation cycle rather than a breakdown of the India story, Sharma added.

Regarding Budget's sectoral priorities, Shashank Udupa, smallcase Manager and SEBI-registered Research Analyst said, "Budget allocations point to intent, not optics. The sharp increase in defence capital outlay-across land systems, aircraft, engines, heavy vehicles and R&D-clearly shows this is not a one-year push."

Budget allocations point to "building capability, ecosystems and domestic scale," Udupa added.

He also pointed to higher spending on pharmaceuticals, biopharma research, chemical parks and coal gasification as evidence that the government is addressing both innovation and energy security.

The report flagged that renewed interest in gold, shortages in critical metals and persistent commodity inflation suggest global markets are entering a new structural phase, rather than just another short-term market cycle.

- IANS

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Reader Comments

S
Sarah B
As an investor, I appreciate the clarity on medium-term visibility. The market volatility was worrying, but if this leads to sustainable growth in sectors like pharma innovation and clean tech, it's worth the wait.
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Priya S
Good to see focus on energy security and coal gasification. But I hope the benefits of this 'mature' 10% growth actually reach the common man. Inflation is still pinching our household budget every month.
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Vikram M
Defence and logistics getting a push is excellent news. With the global situation, we need to be Atmanirbhar in these areas. The US trade deal mentioned could be a game-changer for tech sectors too.
R
Rohit P
The report is right about small caps. Everyone panics during corrections, but that's when real wealth is built for patient investors. SIP in focused sectors is the way.
K
Kavya N
While the strategic intent is good, I respectfully disagree that this is just 'market maturity'. For millions of new retail investors who entered during the boom, this 'reset' feels very stressful. More communication from the government on these transitions would help.
M
Michael C
Interesting analysis. The link between budget allocations for R&D and the US trade deal's focus on AI & rare earths is a smart long-term play.

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