Bangladesh's Debt Trap Deepens as China Loans Mirror Sri Lanka Crisis

Bangladesh is increasingly ensnared in a Chinese debt trap, with its external debt surging 42% in five years to nearly $105 billion, straining the economy. Debt servicing has become the second-largest budget expense, forcing cuts in critical areas like agriculture and education. The situation mirrors crises in Sri Lanka and Pakistan, where unsustainable Chinese loans led to defaults and IMF bailouts. China continues to engage with multiple political factions in Bangladesh, securing influence despite the interim government's temporary status.

Key Points: Bangladesh Debt Trap: China Loans Spark Economic Warning

  • Rising debt-to-GDP ratio
  • Budget cuts amid repayment pressure
  • China's strategic political engagements
  • Regional debt crisis parallels
3 min read

Bangladesh slips into Chinese debt trap: Report

Bangladesh faces a Chinese debt trap with soaring external debt, shrinking budget, and rising repayments, mirroring Sri Lanka's crisis, warns new report.

"Bangladesh has slipped into a debt trap. – M. Abdur Raman Khan, Chairman, National Board of Revenue of Bangladesh"

New Delhi, Jan 3

In view of the increased dependence of Dhaka on the Belt and Road Initiative of China, it is no wonder that Bangladesh is slipping into a debt trap the way Sri Lanka had, a new report has warned, saying that Dhaka is now paying the price of accepting Chinese loans, but refusing to learn.

Bangladesh has gone the same way as its South Asian neighbours like Sri Lanka, according to a report in Asian News Post.

Following unsustainable borrowings from China, in 2022, Colombo was pushed to a situation of sovereign debt default; followed by an economic meltdown.

Moreover, Pakistan has sought $7 billion from the Extended Fund Facility of the IMF to repay Chinese debts. Under the China Pakistan Economic Corridor, Islamabad owes to China nearly $30 billion, according to a report in Asian News Post.

"Bangladesh has slipped into a debt trap. The confirmation has come from none other than Chairman of the National Board of Revenue of Bangladesh M. Abdur Raman Khan," the report mentioned.

Debt servicing has emerged as the second largest budget expense for Bangladesh.

The debt-to-GDP ratio of Bangladesh has climbed to over 39 per cent from about 34 per cent in 2017-18.

According to the report, at a recent seminar, leading economist Mustafizur Rahaman "regretted that agriculture and education used to be the second largest expenditure in the revenue budget for Bangladesh after salaries and pensions; but no longer so".

Moreover, Finance Secretary M Khairuzzaman Mozumdar has said the national budget of Bangladesh for the current year, for the first time in the history of the country, has been smaller than in the previous year.

It is like a "thin man has been asked to lose even more weight," he has observed pithily, said the report.

According to a latest 'International Debt Report 2025' by the World Bank, external debt of Bangladesh has jumped 42 per cent over the last five years, with total foreign borrowing reaching nearly $105 billion by the end of 2024, up from $26 billion in 2010.

"External debt now stands at 192 per cent of the export earnings of the country, with debt service payments surging to 16 per cent of exports; signalling growing pressure for repayment," said the report.

Under the leadership of Mohammed Yunus as Chief Advisor of the Interim Government, Bangladesh has deepened its relationship with China.

"Beijing has, however, not placed all their eggs in one basket. Aware that the interim government is a temporary arrangement, China has been engaging steadily with other power centres that are gaining ground in Bangladesh, among them Jamaat-e-Islami; a fundamentalist pro-Pakistan organization that is said never to have criticized Beijing for its treatment of the Uighur minorities," the report highlighted.

- IANS

Share this article:

Reader Comments

S
Sarah B
The statistic about education and agriculture spending being displaced by debt servicing is heartbreaking. A country's budget should invest in its future, not just pay off past mistakes. That "thin man" quote from the Finance Secretary says it all. 😔
R
Rohit P
It's a classic Chinese strategy. Offer easy money for infrastructure, then when repayment becomes impossible, gain strategic leverage. Pakistan is already trapped, Sri Lanka fell, now Bangladesh. India must strengthen its own economic partnerships in the neighbourhood as a stable alternative.
A
Ananya R
The part about China engaging with Jamaat-e-Islami is very concerning. It shows Beijing is playing a long game, backing anyone who can serve its interests, regardless of ideology. This debt trap isn't just economic, it's a geopolitical tool.
M
Michael C
While the report highlights real dangers, I think we should be careful about painting all Chinese investment with the same brush. Many countries need infrastructure funding. The key is transparent terms and sustainable planning, which seems to be missing here. A lesson for all developing nations.
P
Priya S
External debt at 192% of export earnings? That's a terrifying number. How will they ever pay this back? The common people of Bangladesh will suffer the most—through cuts in essential services and higher taxes. My heart goes out to them. 🇧🇩

We welcome thoughtful discussions from our readers. Please keep comments respectful and on-topic.

Leave a Comment

Minimum 50 characters 0/50