NewKerala.com

Axis My India Exit Poll: Vijay's TVK Leads in Tamil Nadu Debut

Axis My India exit poll projects actor-turned-politician Vijay's TVK winning 98-120 seats in its debut Tamil Nadu assembly election. Vijay is ahead of Chief Minister MK Stalin in the race for chief minister, with 37% support versus Stalin's 35%. The DMK-led alliance is projected to win 92-100 seats, while the AIADMK-led alliance trails with 22-32 seats. Other exit polls show varied results, with DMK alliances expected to win, but Vijay's entry has made the election triangular.

Key Points: Vijay's TVK Leads Tamil Nadu Exit Polls

  • Vijay's TVK projected to win 98-120 seats
  • Axis My India shows Vijay ahead of CM Stalin for top post
  • DMK-led alliance gets 92-100 seats
  • AIADMK-led alliance trails with 22-32 seats
3 min read

Axis My India projects blockbuster debut for Vijay, gives TVK pole position

Axis My India exit poll projects Vijay's TVK winning 98-120 seats in Tamil Nadu assembly polls, surpassing DMK and AIADMK alliances.

"The illusory calculations of those who confined and controlled politics within such specific boundaries have been shattered and crushed by ordinary people. - Vijay"

New Delhi, April 29

Actor-turned politician Vijay's TVK is set for a blockbuster performance in Tamil Nadu assembly polls, according to Axis My India exit poll, which also noted that the party is poised to get as much vote share as DMK in its debut election.

The exit poll projected that the seven-party alliance led by the DMK would get 92-100 seats, Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) 98-120 seats and the five-party alliance led by AIADMK would get 22-32 seats.

According to Axis My India, Vijay is ahead of Chief Minister MK Stalin in terms of choice for the next Chief Minister. While Stalin was supported by 35 per cent of those surveyed, the support was 37 per cent for Vijay.

Several other exit polls predicted that the alliance led by the ruling DMK will return to power in the state

People Pulse projected 125-145 seats for the DMK-led alliance and the AIADMK-led alliance which also includes the BJP, getting 65-80 seats. It projected Vijay's Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) getting two to six seats

Tamil Nadu has 234 assembly seats.

According to exit poll projections by Matrize, DMK and allies will get 122-132 seats and AIADMK and allies 80-100 seats. It said TVK would get 0-6 assembly seats.

The exit poll by P-MARQ projected 125-145 seats for DMK-led alliance, 60-70 seats for AIADMK-led alliance and one to six seats for TVK.

People Insight projected 120-140 seats for DMK-led alliance, 60-70 for AIADMK-led alliance and 30-40 seats for TVK.

DMK-led Secular Progressive Alliance (SPA) in Tamil Nadu also includes the Congress.

Vijay, who is seen to have huge popularity among youth, had last week described the Tamil Nadu Assembly polling voter turnout as a "pinnacle historical event" in the history of the state's electoral politics and said that the "victory is certain".

"Greetings to all who reside in my heart," he began his post on X.

"Politics is something only for some celestial warriors. Only for those with excessive experience. Only for those who enjoy positions. The illusory calculations of those who confined and controlled politics within such specific boundaries have been shattered and crushed by ordinary people," he said.

"No one would have failed to be amazed seeing families, family by family, with little children, coming to vote, just like the crowds seen at temples anywhere for polling stations. And is that all? Can we not clasp our hands in salute to those democrats who came, spending great sums, from other states and even from foreign countries just to vote?" The meaning of calling it an election festival, a democratic festival, was truly felt only yesterday. This April 23, 2026. Yet, this is only a beginning," he added.

Vijay's entry had turned the Tamil Nadu polls triangular. The politics in the state has traditionally been dominated by alliances led by the DMK and AIADMK. The results will be announced on May 4.

- ANI

Share this article:

Reader Comments

P
Priya S
I'm skeptical about Axis My India's projection. Other polls show TVK getting 0-6 seats, but this one says 98-120? That's a massive discrepancy. 😕 Vijay's emotional speech about families voting like temple crowds was nice, but politics isn't about speeches - it's about delivery. DMK has experience and infrastructure. TVK might be overhyped because of his filmi image. Let's wait for May 4.
M
Michael C
As someone who follows Indian politics from abroad, this is fascinating. Vijay's entry has made Tamil Nadu a three-horse race for the first time in decades. The Axis My India numbers seem overly optimistic for TVK though. I'd trust the consensus of other polls showing DMK leading. Still, if even 30-40 seats go to TVK (as People Insight suggests), that's a historic debut. Democracy at its finest!
K
Kavya N
Vijay's post on X was so heartfelt! 🥹 "Politics is for celestial warriors" - what a line. He's bringing common people into the political discourse. But honestly, I worry about celebrity worship in politics. We've seen actors become CM before, but is that good for democracy? TVK needs to show more than just star power - they need policies, grassroots workers, and real solutions for farmers, women, and youth unemployment.
R
Rahul R
I'm a Tamilian living in Bengaluru. My family back home says there's genuine buzz for TVK among youth and first-time voters. Axis My India might be onto something. DMK has been in power and there's anti-incumbency, AIADMK is weak without Amma, so people want change. Vijay's appeal cuts across castes and communities - he's like a blank slate people can project their hopes onto. But 98-120 seats? That's a stretch, maybe 40-60 is more realistic.

We welcome thoughtful discussions from our readers. Please keep comments respectful and on-topic.

Leave a Comment

Minimum 50 characters 0/50