The landfall of the cyclone in coastal areas of Odisha and Andhra Pradesh is expected from today night, said M Mahapatra, Director, Cyclone Centre, on Friday, predicting heavy rainfall in the two states by evening.
"It is a very severe cyclone storm with 210 to 240 kmph wind speed. But it is yet to be termed a super cyclone," he said.
He said Ganjam, Khurda, Puri and Jagatsinghpur districts of Odisha are going to be worst hit along with Srikakulam district of Andhra Pradesh. Odisha in 1999 had witnessed one of the worst cyclones that killed 15,000 people.
Earlier MET office in a bulletin said: "The very severe cyclonic storm, PHAILIN over east central Bay of Bengal moved westwards slightly intensified further and lay centred at 0230 hrs IST of 11thth October 2013 near latitude 15.50N and longitude 89.000E, about 590km south-southeast of Paradip, 600km southeast of Gopalpur, and 600km east-southeast of Kalingapatnam.
"It would move northwestwards and cross north Andhra Pradesh and Odisha coast between Kalingapatnam and Paradip, close to Gopalpur (Odisha) by evening of 12thth October, 2013 as a very severe cyclonic storm with a maximum sustained wind speed of 205-215 kmph."
MET Warning for Odisha, Andhra Pradesh and West Bengal :
Heavy Rainfall: Under the influence of this system, rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at a few places with isolated extremely heavy falls (≥ 25cm) would occur over coastal Odisha commencing from 12thth October 2013 morning. It would continue and extend to interior Odisha and coastal areas of Gangetic West Bengal from 13th morning. Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy rainfall would also occur at a few places over north coastal Andhra Pradesh commencing from 12thth Oct 2013 and isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall would occur over coastal areas of West Bengal commencing from 13thth Oct. 2013.
Gale wind: Squally winds speed reaching 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph would commence along and off Odisha and north Andhra Pradesh coast from 11th morning. It would increase in intensity with gale wind speed reaching 205-215 kmph along and off coastal districts of north coastal Andhra Pradesh and south Odisha at the time of landfall. State of Sea along and off Odisha and north Andhra Pradesh coast will be rough to very rough from 11th morning and will become phenomenal on 12th October 2013. It will be rough to very rough along and off West Bengal coast during the above period.
Storm Surge Guidance: Storm surge with height of around 2.0-2.5 m above astronomical tide would inundate low lying areas of Ganjam, Khurda, Puri and Jagatsinghpur districts of Odisha and Srikakulam district of Andhra Pradesh during landfall.
Damage expected over Odisha and adjoining north Andhra Pradesh: Extensive damage to kutcha houses. Some damage to old buildings. Large scale disruption of power and communication lines. Disruption of rail and road traffic due to extensive flooding. Potential threat from flying debris. Flooding of escape routes. Extensive damage to agricultural crops.
Action suggested: Fishermen out at sea along north Andhra Pradesh, Odisha and West Bengal coast are advised to return to coast. Fishermen are advised not to venture into sea.
Following actions are suggested when the cyclone would be 500 km from the coast (from 11thth October 2013).
Total suspension of fishing operations. Mobilise evacuation from coastal areas. Judicious regulation of rail and road traffic. People in affected areas to remain indoors during cyclone landfall.
Warning for Andaman and Nicobar Islands :
(i)Heavy rainfall : Under the influence of this system, rainfall at most places with isolated heavy to very heavy falls would occur over Andaman Islands during next 12 hrs.
(ii) Squally wind : Squally winds speed reaching 40 - 50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph would continue to prevail prevail over Andaman Islands and adjoining sea areas during next 12 hours. Sea condition will be rough to very rough along and off Andaman and Nicobar Islands during next 12 hrs.
Fishermen are advised not to venture into the sea during next 12 hrs.
Meanwhile, Odhisha Chief Minister Naveen Patnaik said the state government is fully prepared to deal with the cyclone and ensure minimal human casualty.
According to IAF, two IAF IL -76 have airlifted NDRF teams and equipment to Bhubneshwar. Other IAF assets are on stand by at various bases including - Raipur, Nagpur, Jagdalpur, Barrackpore, Ranchi and Gwalior.
IAF commits 2 C130J, 18 helicopters, 2 AN-32s to the effort and the aircraft are already positioned to move at short notice.
IAF is fully geared up to assist the State administration and has tasked its Eastern Air Command to coordinate the entire relief operation with the task force under being positioned at Barrackpore, it said in a communique.
--IBNS (Posted on 11-10-2013)